Regional Forecasting Table, 2016: Eastern and Southern Africa
- 23 states, populations over 500,000
- Freedom Score & Freedom Status: Freedom House, Freedom in the World, 2017. (New York, FH).
- Median age: UN Population Division, World Population Prospects, the 2015 Revision. (New York, UN).
- Probability of FREE (model): Cincotta, R. “Demography and Early Warning: Gauging Future Political Transitions in the Age-structural Time Domain,” J. Intelligence Analysis, 22(2): 129-148.